Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004180 0.004588 0.005027 0.005535 0.006109 0.006738 0.007483
2025-08-31 0.003405 0.003951 0.004580 0.005364 0.006322 0.007464 0.008945
2025-09-07 0.003022 0.003636 0.004376 0.005346 0.006600 0.008186 0.010382
2025-09-14 0.002826 0.003503 0.004352 0.005513 0.007085 0.009183 0.012266
2025-09-21 0.002567 0.003257 0.004147 0.005406 0.007177 0.009644 0.013455
2025-09-28 0.002357 0.003050 0.003968 0.005304 0.007248 0.010062 0.014613
2025-10-05 0.002213 0.002917 0.003872 0.005301 0.007449 0.010676 0.016136
2025-10-12 0.002122 0.002847 0.003855 0.005403 0.007807 0.011557 0.018200
2025-10-19 0.001991 0.002711 0.003730 0.005331 0.007884 0.011995 0.019573
2025-10-26 0.001891 0.002610 0.003647 0.005313 0.008040 0.012571 0.021263
2025-11-02 0.001784 0.002493 0.003531 0.005230 0.008079 0.012947 0.022632
2025-11-09 0.001721 0.002436 0.003502 0.005282 0.008343 0.013741 0.024923
2025-11-16 0.001636 0.002343 0.003414 0.005238 0.008451 0.014286 0.026860
2025-11-23 0.001531 0.002215 0.003264 0.005081 0.008345 0.014428 0.027988
2025-11-30 0.001466 0.002144 0.003202 0.005065 0.008491 0.015065 0.030315
2025-12-07 0.001442 0.002136 0.003237 0.005220 0.008969 0.016420 0.034565
2025-12-14 0.001369 0.002046 0.003133 0.005120 0.008948 0.016746 0.036403
2025-12-21 0.001303 0.001964 0.003036 0.005024 0.008926 0.017064 0.038284
2025-12-28 0.001259 0.001914 0.002992 0.005022 0.009088 0.017803 0.041434
2026-01-04 0.001234 0.001896 0.003001 0.005117 0.009460 0.019062 0.046322
2026-01-11 0.001184 0.001833 0.002926 0.005050 0.009481 0.019512 0.048987
2026-01-18 0.001145 0.001787 0.002880 0.005033 0.009610 0.020234 0.052659
2026-01-25 0.001100 0.001727 0.002806 0.004956 0.009599 0.020610 0.055337